Communicating likelihood ratios

43 mins 41 secs,  224.16 MB,  WebM  640x360,  29.97 fps,  44100 Hz,  700.6 kbits/sec
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Description: Spiegelhalter, D (University of Cambridge)
Friday 2nd September 2016 - 15:30 to 16:30
 
Created: 2016-09-06 16:17
Collection: Probability and Statistics in Forensic Science
Publisher: Isaac Newton Institute
Copyright: Spiegelhalter, D
Language: eng (English)
Distribution: World     (downloadable)
Explicit content: No
Aspect Ratio: 16:9
Screencast: No
Bumper: UCS Default
Trailer: UCS Default
 
Abstract: One method for communicating likelihood ratios is to use words to express ranges of values. I shall look at the development of these recommendations, and make comparisons with other areas in which similar proposals have been made for communicating probabilities or risks using words, such as climate change and drug safety, and how these have been interpreted by audiences
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