The problem of false positives, some lessons from the bullet lead story, and the new U.S. Department of Justice guidance for expert testimony

29 mins 24 secs,  197.87 MB,  WebM  640x360,  29.97 fps,  44100 Hz,  918.9 kbits/sec
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Description: Finkelstein, M (Columbia University)
Tuesday 30th August 2016 - 11:30 to 12:00
 
Created: 2016-09-06 10:17
Collection: Probability and Statistics in Forensic Science
Publisher: Isaac Newton Institute
Copyright: Finkelstein, M
Language: eng (English)
Distribution: World     (downloadable)
Explicit content: No
Aspect Ratio: 16:9
Screencast: No
Bumper: UCS Default
Trailer: UCS Default
 
Abstract: False positive probability is a key element in a statistical evaluation of forensic evidence. The Committee on Scientific Assessment of Bullet Lead Elemental Composition Comparison of the U.S. National Research Council struggled with the problem of its estimation and its conclusion is instructive. It is an interesting fact that the recently issued guidance for expert testimony proposed by the U.S. Department of Justice points in a similar direction.
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